Treasury Bond (30-Year) the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

12 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 4.7 wksworst run ever sat through 8.0%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

18.6

cot index

22.0

z-score · 156w

-1.56

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-08-04

☆ Watch this marketFRIDAY ALERT · SIGN IN

#27 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #26 LONG ● TURN 2025-05-21 · #25 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #24 LONG ● TURN 2022-06-13 · #23 LONG ● TURN 2022-03-21 · #22 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-03 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2020-01-31 · #18 SHORT ● TURN 2018-12-18 · #17 LONG ● TURN 2018-02-01 · #16 SHORT ● TURN 2017-04-13 · #15 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #14 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 LONG ● TURN 2015-04-30 · #11 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ● TURN 2013-01-03 · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ● TURN 2010-12-14 · #5 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #4 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ● TURN 2008-10-23 · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.7 WKS · WORST RUN 8.0%#27 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #26 LONG ● TURN 2025-05-21 · #25 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #24 LONG ● TURN 2022-06-13 · #23 LONG ● TURN 2022-03-21 · #22 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-03 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2020-01-31 · #18 SHORT ● TURN 2018-12-18 · #17 LONG ● TURN 2018-02-01 · #16 SHORT ● TURN 2017-04-13 · #15 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #14 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 LONG ● TURN 2015-04-30 · #11 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ● TURN 2013-01-03 · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ● TURN 2010-12-14 · #5 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #4 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ● TURN 2008-10-23 · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.7 WKS · WORST RUN 8.0%

the Treasury Bond (30-Year) report →is Treasury Bond (30-Year) stretched now? →

Every UST BOND trade on file · 27 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

pro · the full confirmation layer

Every UST BOND extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

Unlock everything · €49/mo →

see the free file first →

Every market gets a file like this.

BITCOIN, DOW EMINI, ETHER, NASDAQ EMINI are stretched right now, their files are one click away.

Unlock all · €49/mo