OUR OWN TRADES · MARKED IN PUBLIC · WIN OR LOSE
Every guru shows you their wins.
We never delete a loss.
We bet against the crowd in public and mark every file every week. 0 are open right now: some up big, some red, none ever deleted. A win and a loss get the exact same page. How the finish line and the checkpoints work is in the board below.
running numbers as of 2026-10-22 · 0 already past the line that counts
THE RULE · A MEASUREMENT PROTOCOL, NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Every extreme is entered blind, on purpose. The crowd hits the top or bottom 5% of its own 3-year range (back-to-back weeks count once). We enter at the first open after Friday’s release, against the crowd. The move is graded against its bar (0.75× this market’s own volatility) inside 13 weeks. No filters, no discretion. This board answers one question: what is the extreme alone worth? The published answer: not much. Most cases do not turn. We tried bolting “improvements” onto the rule; tested on years they had never seen, they failed the bar we set in advance.
If you’d wait for confirmation first (the crowd’s first cut, open interest draining, a close against the trend): good instinct. Those are measured too, in every file under “what marked the turns”. As evidence, not as a promise. Full spec in the methodology →
CLOSED LAST WEEK · WIN OR LOSE, ON THE RECORD
Nothing closed in the last seven days. The next candidates sit at week 13 on the board above · their windows close with the coming Friday grade, and the result lands here, win or lose.
These are our fades. Pro opens every file.
The board is free proof. Pro opens the graded conditions and the odds on every crowded market · or read one market’s full file worked end-to-end, free.