COT SCHOOL · SHORT, HONEST, NO JARGON
Learn the COT report in an afternoon.
Six short guides. Everything is anchored in what we actually measured across 44 markets since 2006, including the parts that did not work. No signals, no jargon without a translation.
01How to read the COT reportWhat the CFTC’s Commitments of Traders report actually shows, the one number worth scoring, and the mistakes that make most people misread it.02Managed money vs commercials: who is whoThe trader groups inside the Commitments of Traders report, which one is ‘the crowd’, and why copying commercials is a structural mistake.03Percentiles, not levels: how to compare positioningWhy raw COT positioning numbers mislead, how a 3-year percentile fixes it, and what a 99th-percentile crowd does and does not mean.04Do COT extremes predict reversals? We counted.We backtested 1,206 positioning extremes since 2006 and published the results, including the strategies that failed. Here is what the record shows.05When the COT report is released (and why the gap matters)The CFTC publishes Friday 15:30 ET with data as of Tuesday. What the three-day gap means, holiday shifts, and when fresh numbers land here.06How we grade ourselves (bars, gates and live files)Every extreme opens a public file: a frozen entry rule, a volatility-scaled bar, fixed grading gates, and marks that stay up win or lose.
NEXT DROP · FRIDAY 21:30 CET
The Friday Letter
Every Friday 21:30 CET the new report lands and we regrade all 1,206 cases overnight. Confirm and your crowd-map snapshot arrives right away. Then every Friday: what moved, where the crowd is stretched, and which fades are running in public. And the moment we open one, you get the ping. Free.
Every Friday: where the crowd is stretched, what is running, what it cost. Free.
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