Bitcoin the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

3 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 6.6 wksworst run ever sat through 48.4%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

91.7

cot index

77.5

z-score · 156w

1.58

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-09-15

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#10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #5 LONG ● TURN 2022-05-11 · #4 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-21 · #3 SHORT ● TURN 2020-11-05 · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 6.6 WKS · WORST RUN 48.4% · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #5 LONG ● TURN 2022-05-11 · #4 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-21 · #3 SHORT ● TURN 2020-11-05 · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 6.6 WKS · WORST RUN 48.4%#10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #5 LONG ● TURN 2022-05-11 · #4 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-21 · #3 SHORT ● TURN 2020-11-05 · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 6.6 WKS · WORST RUN 48.4% · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #5 LONG ● TURN 2022-05-11 · #4 LONG ● TURN 2022-01-21 · #3 SHORT ● TURN 2020-11-05 · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 6.6 WKS · WORST RUN 48.4%

the Bitcoin report →is Bitcoin stretched now? →

Every BITCOIN trade on file · 10 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

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Every BITCOIN extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

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