Rough Rice the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

11 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 4.8 wksworst run ever sat through 20.2%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

72.4

cot index

62.4

z-score · 156w

0.68

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-08-04

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#27 SHORT ● TURN 2026-01-29 · #26 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #25 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #24 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #23 LONG ● TURN 2024-03-28 · #22 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #21 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #20 SHORT ● TURN 2023-03-24 · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2022-11-07 · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2018-10-09 · #14 SHORT ● TURN 2018-06-13 · #13 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #12 SHORT ● TURN 2017-05-15 · #11 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #10 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ● TURN 2016-07-26 · #8 SHORT ● TURN 2012-07-16 · #7 SHORT ● TURN 2012-04-25 · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2010-09-15 · #4 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.8 WKS · WORST RUN 20.2%#27 SHORT ● TURN 2026-01-29 · #26 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #25 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #24 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #23 LONG ● TURN 2024-03-28 · #22 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #21 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #20 SHORT ● TURN 2023-03-24 · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2022-11-07 · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2018-10-09 · #14 SHORT ● TURN 2018-06-13 · #13 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #12 SHORT ● TURN 2017-05-15 · #11 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #10 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #9 LONG ● TURN 2016-07-26 · #8 SHORT ● TURN 2012-07-16 · #7 SHORT ● TURN 2012-04-25 · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2010-09-15 · #4 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.8 WKS · WORST RUN 20.2%

the Rough Rice report →is Rough Rice stretched now? →

Every ROUGH RICE trade on file · 27 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

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Every ROUGH RICE extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

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