Live Cattle the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

6 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 5.4 wksworst run ever sat through 18.4%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

18.6

cot index

23.9

z-score · 156w

-1.18

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-09-15

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#19 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 SHORT ● TURN 2024-02-01 · #16 LONG ● TURN 2023-05-01 · #15 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #14 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ● TURN 2019-10-16 · #12 LONG ● TURN 2019-05-01 · #11 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2013-01-02 · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ● TURN 2009-07-17 · MEDIAN TURN 5.4 WKS · WORST RUN 18.4%#19 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 SHORT ● TURN 2024-02-01 · #16 LONG ● TURN 2023-05-01 · #15 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #14 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ● TURN 2019-10-16 · #12 LONG ● TURN 2019-05-01 · #11 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #9 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2013-01-02 · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #2 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #1 SHORT ● TURN 2009-07-17 · MEDIAN TURN 5.4 WKS · WORST RUN 18.4%

the Live Cattle report →is Live Cattle stretched now? →

Every LIVE CATTLE trade on file · 19 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

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Every LIVE CATTLE extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

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