Euro FX the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

5 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 4.6 wksworst run ever sat through 19.4%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

10.3

cot index

6.8

z-score · 156w

-1.81

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-08-04

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#22 SHORT ● TURN 2025-03-04 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #19 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2015-05-06 · #14 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #11 SHORT ● TURN 2011-10-27 · #10 LONG ● TURN 2011-09-12 · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #7 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2008-07-11 · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #2 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.6 WKS · WORST RUN 19.4%#22 SHORT ● TURN 2025-03-04 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #19 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #18 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2015-05-06 · #14 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #11 SHORT ● TURN 2011-10-27 · #10 LONG ● TURN 2011-09-12 · #9 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #8 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #7 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #6 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #5 SHORT ● TURN 2008-07-11 · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #2 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 4.6 WKS · WORST RUN 19.4%

the Euro FX report →is Euro FX stretched now? →

Every EURUSD trade on file · 22 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

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Every EURUSD extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

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