Crude Oil (WTI) the file, every extreme since 2006

separate extremes on file (back-to-back extreme weeks count once), numbered on the chart, none hidden

10 ended in a reversal within 13 weeksthe ones that turned took a median 9 wksworst run ever sat through 40.3%what marked those turns → measured in this file

3y percentile

34.6

cot index

36.8

z-score · 156w

-0.40

weeks in zone

—

report as of

2026-08-04

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#26 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #25 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #24 SHORT ● TURN 2024-02-16 · #23 LONG ● TURN 2023-11-01 · #22 SHORT ● TURN 2023-08-09 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2020-01-03 · #18 SHORT ● TURN 2019-01-09 · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2016-10-11 · #14 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 LONG ● TURN 2014-08-01 · #11 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ● TURN 2013-10-23 · #9 SHORT ● TURN 2013-01-22 · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ● TURN 2010-05-17 · #5 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 9 WKS · WORST RUN 40.3%#26 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #25 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #24 SHORT ● TURN 2024-02-16 · #23 LONG ● TURN 2023-11-01 · #22 SHORT ● TURN 2023-08-09 · #21 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #20 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #19 SHORT ● TURN 2020-01-03 · #18 SHORT ● TURN 2019-01-09 · #17 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #16 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #15 SHORT ● TURN 2016-10-11 · #14 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #13 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #12 LONG ● TURN 2014-08-01 · #11 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #10 LONG ● TURN 2013-10-23 · #9 SHORT ● TURN 2013-01-22 · #8 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #7 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #6 LONG ● TURN 2010-05-17 · #5 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #4 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #3 SHORT ✗ NO TURN · #2 LONG ✗ NO TURN · #1 LONG ✗ NO TURN · MEDIAN TURN 9 WKS · WORST RUN 40.3%

the Crude Oil (WTI) report →is Crude Oil (WTI) stretched now? →

Every CRUDE WTI trade on file · 26 since 2006+

Historical analysis for information and education only, not advice, not a recommendation, not a solicitation. Results are model-based (front-month price proxies, weekly data), can contain errors, and would differ with costs, slippage and live execution. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

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Every CRUDE WTI extreme since 2006, numbered on the chart: which ones turned, which ones never did, and how much of the move was still there by the time it fired.

every losing case published · one frozen rule · graded in public since 2019

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